Jordan Carter has done a piece on what he thinks the lessons for National from the last election are. I thought I might as well post my thoughts on his comments.
Race. The Treaty-bashing stance worked to consolidate support around National from across the centre-right, but did not shift votes off Labour. The liberal middle of NZ politics will not allow National to form a government until it moves beyond stale formulations designed to divide Kiwis against each other.
Firstly, let me say that I do not think that National was “playing the race card” as so many commentators have been saying. I believe that the actions of National would have been to actually remove the “race-card” from play. I think National’s policies were not designed to divide Kiwis against each other, but rather to bring us together. I think that maybe National did get its blurred – they should said that National did not want many different groups fighting, as is not the situation, but rather that NZ is a diverse country, we appreciate that, but race is not a fair way of funding etc.
Tax. National will need to re-think their tax policy. I would not mind betting that come the next election, there will be no $7bn budget surplus to splurge away in wasted individualised tax cuts.
I think this old old saying sums up National’s view: give a man a fish, feed him for a day; teach a man to fish, feed him for a lifetime. Labour is giving out a lot of fish (and they will be giving out a lot more by the truckload), and because of that, people don’t see the need to try to improve their situation. Why should they? Why bother working harder if they are just going to get taxed more? They are better off staying at home and trying to have more kids.
The fact that the left of the Australian Labor party has come out in support of tax cuts shows that it is in fact NZ Labour that must rethink their tax policy. As David Farrar says, “Australian Labor's Julia Gillard, generally regarded as being on the left of the party, has come out and endorsed tax cuts. This leaves NZ Labour as being almost the only party in the world, left or right, which doesn't support tax reduction”.
Here are some quotes from the article about Julia Gillard that NZ Labour should listen to:
“Launching a book on the Labor Party, Ms Gillard urged her party to put the national interest ahead of sectional interests to become relevant to all Australians.”
“For "those who aspire to move beyond welfare to work, a cut in tax is not just as good a way of increasing a breadwinner's take-home pay as a rise in wages, it is a better way", she said.”
Never a truer word was said.
Diversity. The election shows that the forces of progress and diversity - either representing ethnic communities, national minorities or in one case a mainstream political party home to all the hues that Kiwis are, convincingly achieved more votes than the parties which claimed to speak for a ""mainstream"" which is at least thirty years out of date. National's dalliance with white picket fences, if continued, can only lead to permanent minority status as New Zealand continues to grow and change.
Sure, NZ does continue to grow and change. I don’t see how this is the governments business, really. Labour and their supporters need to stop thinking that people are stupid and let them live their lives. NZ is going to change whether or not they try to push it along. Yes National definition of mainstream was wrong (I have said that many times), but I don’t think that you can say National has a “dalliance with white picket fences”. I think that Jordan is confusing National’s desire for everyone to achieve their best, with his party’s desire to control everything.
Detail. It was alarming how thin-on-the-ground National's policy positions were on many areas. After six years in opposition, you'd expect a party that was serious about government to have well-thought-through positions on all the major areas of policy. They didn't. Not only that, many of their MPs and candidates seemed unaware of what the policy was where it did happen to exist.
This paragraph I agree with. Hopefully now with a lot of new MPs, they can get together in little groups over the next three years and come out with something that actually says what and HOW they are going to run the country.
These are just a few thoughts – any comments?